Elk, California 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

752
FXUS66 KHNX 060504
AFDHNX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hanford CA
1004 PM PDT Sat Apr 5 2025

.UPDATE...
Updated Aviation Section.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...

1. Dry weather will prevail and a warming trend will take place
this afternoon through the weekend.

2. Temperatures will lower a few degrees, but still above
normal, on Monday then rise to well above normal by the middle
of next week.

3. Warm and dry conditions are favored to persist in the longer
term, with a 40 to 50 percent chance for above normal
temperatures and 40 to 50 percent chance for below normal
precipitation in the 8 to 14 day period.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Dry conditions with above average temperatures continue today
as a high pressure ridge builds over central California. The
ridge is expected to strengthen for Sunday and Monday, with
afternoon highs across the region warming to eight to ten
degrees above normal for this time of year. A weak trough has
the chance to move through the northern reaches of our CWA
Monday, however there is less than a 10 percent probability for
measurable rainfall. Similar conditions to the weekend will set
up into much of next week as a stronger ridging pattern
approaches. The potential early week system will bring slightly
cooler, but above normal temperatures to the region, however the
advancing ridge is expected to increase highs again in the mid-
to late-week period. Here are the probabilities to exceed 80
degrees for select locations of the San Joaquin Valley each day
through next Thursday.

              Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu  Fri
              4/5 4/6 4/7 4/8 4/9 4/10 4/11
Bakersfield    2% 80% 80% 30% 75%  95%  85%
Coalinga       2% 80% 75% 45% 95%  98%  85%
Fresno         0% 60% 45% 15% 75%  95%  75%
Hanford        3% 70% 65% 45% 75%  95%  85%
Lake Isabella  0%  0%  1%  3% 80%  95%  45%
Mariposa       0%  0%  0%  0%  1%  20%  10%
Merced         0% 25%  4%  0% 25%  65%  50%
Visalia        2% 65% 65% 30% 70%  90%  80%

There remains a signal from ensemble members for a weak system
to move through the region next weekend, however probabilities
for 24 hour accumulations greater than 0.01 inches are less than
25% for the entire area. Extended outlooks from the NWS CPC
show a 40 to 60 percent chance for above normal temperatures and
a 40 to 50 percent chance for below normal precipitation in the
6 to 10 day period. In addition, there is a 40 to 50 percent
chance for above normal temperatures and a 40 to 50 percent
chance for below normal precipitation in the 8 to 14 day period.


&&


.AVIATION...
06Z Update:
VFR conditions will persist across the central California
interior across the next 24 hours.

&&

.AIR QUALITY ISSUES...
ISSUED:  04/04/2025 14:06
EXPIRES: 04/05/2025 23:59
None.



&&

.CERTAINTY...

The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high.
The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is medium.

Certainty levels include low...medium...and high. Please visit
www.weather.gov/hnx/certainty.html for additional information
and/or to provide feedback.

&&

.HNX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

public/aviation...SM

weather.gov/hanford